Market Snapshot | August 28, 2024

Wheat is showing relative strength at midsession. Livestock markets consolidate near Tuesday’s highs.

Pro Farmer's Market Snapshot
Pro Farmer’s Market Snapshot
(Pro Farmer)

Corn futures are modestly favoring the downside at midsession.

  • Corn futures recovered from overnight losses though they are struggling to garner much upside momentum.
  • USDA reported daily corn sales of 100,000 MT to Colombia and 165,735 MT to Mexico for the 2024-25 marketing year.
  • China asked domestic traders to curb foreign grain purchases, expanding the order a few months ago from corn to barley and sorghum, people familiar with the situation told Bloomberg.
  • Nearly all the Corn Belt is forecast to receive at least some rain by Saturday, helping negate some of the recent moisture loss due to excessive heat.
  • December corn futures have struggled to overcome 10-day moving average resistance at $3.94. Support at $3.90 has limited the downside so far today.

Soybeans are trading 8 to 9 cents lower, and soymeal futures are mostly around $3.00 $4.00 lower. Soyoil is modestly higher.

  • Soybeans are lower on heavier-than-expected rains across portions of the Midwest on Tuesday, with additional scattered rains falling on areas of the eastern Corn Belt this morning.
  • Hot temps are expected to persist into Thursday before cooling into the weekend to more seasonal temperatures next week.
  • USDA reported daily soybean sales of 264,000 MT to China for 2024-25.
  • November soybeans dropped below support at $9.80 1/4. Resistance is at the 20-day moving average, currently at $9.93 1/4.

SRW wheat futures are mostly 5 to 7 cents higher, HRW is 7 to 9 cents higher and HRS futures are mostly 6 to 8 cents higher.

  • SRW wheat futures are building on Tuesday’s corrective gains.
  • Stats Canada estimated Canadian all wheat production at 34.4 MMT, up 4.3% from last year but lower than the 35.1 MMT analysts polled by Reuters expected.
  • Germany’s wheat production is expected to fall 12.7% to 18.80 MMT due to poor weather, especially persistent late-season rains, the agriculture ministry said. The EU is already looking at reduced exports due to France’s disaster crop.
  • December SRW wheat challenged resistance at $5.41 1/4, the 10-day moving average. Support is at $5.35 1/2.

Live cattle and feeder futures are choppy at midmorning.

  • Cattle futures recovered from a lower opening this morning though have struggled to push above Tuesday’s highs.
  • Cash cattle negotiations have been slow start as expected. Forward purchases and contracted supplies have enabled packers to hold off on initiating bids.
  • Wholesale beef priced ended Tuesday mixed with Choice cutout sinking $3.93 to $311.97 and Select firming 6 cents to $300.25, while movement was solid at 167 loads.
  • October live cattle futures have struggled against psychological resistance at $180.00, but the 10-day moving average at $178.20 continues to serve as solid support.

Hog futures are mostly higher at midsession.

  • October hog futures are trading in a relatively tight range in choppy trade.
  • Pork cutout recovered from some of Monday’s steep drop, rising $1.07 to $96.05, as all cuts except ribs posted gains on the day.
  • The CME lean hog index is down another 4 cents to $87.82 as of Aug. 26, though that is the smallest daily decline since a one-day uptick on Aug. 14.
  • October lean hogs are struggling to overcome Tuesday’s high of $82.075, though losses have largely been limited by support at $78.80.