First Thing Today
Spring wheat CCI rating plunges again. Chinese purchases of soybeans, corn, wheat and meat all up from year-ago through June. Transportation spending bill has a spending offset issue. Cash hog bids dive.
Frost/freeze the latest ding for Brazil’s battered safrinha corn crop. Solid heat wave for the western Corn Belt likely the latter half of July.
It was a wet weekend for the Midwest, but a dry, warm forecast for the Upper Midwest with heat moving into the Northern Plains keep weather concerns close at hand.
Heavy rain and storms are on tap for southern and eastern areas of the Midwest. The infrastructure agreement faces some high hurdles reaching the finish line. USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed Report is out this afternoon.
Corn is hitting new lows for the month, with soybeans also under pressure. Sellers continue to dominate lean hog market and limits expand ahead of USDA’s weekly export sales update and its Quarterly Hogs & Pigs Report.
Welcome rains fell in Iowa, but western areas of the state again missed out. Levels of South America’s Parana River remain problematic. Fed Chair Powell said high prices should wane. Higher cash cattle trade picks up.
Spring wheat soars amid a dive in condition ratings. Cordonnier sticks with his U.S. crop estimates, but he cut Brazil’s corn crop. Farm-state lawmakers want biofuel provisions to be wrapped into infrastructure package.
Midwest rains are weighing on grain and soy futures. Chinese imports of Brazilian beans picked up in May. And Biden’s opposition to a gas tax proposal and Democratic infighting could derail latest infrastructure effort.
Volatility is here. Money flow will be key to market action moving forward. China remained an aggressive importers of grains and pork during May, despite high prices. Refiners appear to be betting on a blending reprieve.
Hot, stormy weather is expected for the Midwest, pressuring grain and soy futures. A bipartisan infrastructure plan gains support. And Biden and Putin agree to disagree at their summit yesterday.
Some buying returned to grain futures overnight. Markets will zero in on the Fed today and whether it bumps up its timeline for higher interest rates. Meanwhile, China is reporting its sow herd is near pre-ASF levels.