First Thing Today
July jobs update awaited. Temp swings stressing Argentine wheat, but not enough to lower crop prospects. China to release reserves of commodities ‘essential for livelihood,’ takes more steps to control hog supply.
Hot, dry week likely for much of the Midwest & Plains. Low Parana River water levels likely to get worse before they get better. Vilsack predicts moderation in food inflation. Friendly cattle reports may boost futures.
Evening weather update calls for less Midwest rain. French wheat crop ratings dip again, with heavy rains eroding crop prospects. Chinese soybean imports could slow 2H of 2021. Taper talk at the Fed.
Profit-taking overnight. Industry still trying to get a handle on Canada’s wheat and canola crops. Central China is dealing with floods. FTC adopts policy statement to take on ‘right to repair.’
A high pressure ridge could lead to more drying in western Corn Belt, Northern Plains. USDA isn’t the only one missing the mark on Canada’s wheat crop. Odds are low for a proposed bill to end corn-ethanol mandate.
Grain and soy futures rallied overnight amid a concerning forecast for some areas and lower-than-expected corn and spring wheat condition ratings.
Spring wheat still soaring amid weather woes, with the warm dry forecast for the western Corn Belt concerning. China’s grain imports are still soaring. Its Sichuan province reported ASF in illegally transported piglets
Extreme heat coming for spring wheat country. Brazil’s corn contract washouts could be the highest since 2016. Xi raises food security to national security concern. Germany confirms its first cases of ASF in farm pigs.
Another slowdown in crush expected for June, with export sales also out today. Low water levels on Argentina’s Parana River still causing headaches. Chinese pork production hits seven-year high in Q2
Storms expected to roll across the Midwest from today forward. China’s summer wheat crop up from 2020, but quality is a concern. Biden to meet with Senate Democrats about their $3.5-tril. budget reconciliation plan.
Spring wheat CCI rating plunges again. Chinese purchases of soybeans, corn, wheat and meat all up from year-ago through June. Transportation spending bill has a spending offset issue. Cash hog bids dive.