The National Weather Service (NWS) extended forecast calls for increased chances of above-normal temperatures and below-normal precip over most of the Southern Plains through April. The bubble of below-normal precip is also expected to cover the western half of the Central Plains during the period. Below-normal temps and above-normal precip are likely over the Pacific Northwest. SRW wheat areas are expected to see above-normal precip, with above-normal temps in southern areas and “equal chances” in northern SRW states.
The Seasonal Drought Outlook calls for drought to develop or persist in the far southwestern Plains, along with the Central and Northern Plains through April. Drought removal or no drought is expected over SRW wheat areas and the PNW.
As of Jan. 14, USDA estimated 22% of the U.S. winter wheat crop experienced drought conditions.