USDA Report Snapshot: Big yield cuts for corn, soybeans

USDA pegged the final corn yield at 179.3 bu. per acre, down 3.8 bu. from Nov, while the soybean yield was trimmed by 1 bu. per acre to 50.7 bpa. Quarterly corn, soybean stocks were also below expectations, while wheat seedings landed well above.

USDA
USDA Annual Production, Quarterly Grain Stocks and Winter Wheat Seedings Reports
(USDA )

U.S. Corn, Soybean and Cotton Production
Corn
Production (bil. bu.)
Yield(bu. per acre)
USDA
14.867
179.3
Average est.
15.095
182.7
USDA November
15.143
183.1
Soybeans
Production (bil. bu.)
Yield(bu. per acre)
USDA
4.366
50.7
Average est.
4.453
51.6
USDA November
4.461
51.7
Cotton
Production (mil. bales)
Yield(lbs. per acre)
USDA
14.41
836
Average est.
14.16
NA
USDA December
14.255
792

Quarterly Grain Stocks Report
Corn – billion bu.
USDA Dec. 1, 2024
12.074
Average est.
12.147
USDA Sept. 1, 2024
1.760
USDA Dec. 1, 2023
12.171
Soybeans – billion bu.
USDA Dec. 1, 2024
3.100
Average est.
3.208
USDA Sept. 1, 2024
0.342
USDA Dec. 1, 2023
3.001
Wheat – billion bu.
USDA Dec. 1, 2024
1.570
Average est.
1.565
USDA Sept. 1, 2024
1.986
USDA Dec. 1, 2023
1.421

Winter Wheat Seedings
All winter wheat – million acres
USDA
34.115
Average est.
33.366
USDA final 2024
33.390
HRW wheat – million acres
USDA
24.000
Average est.
23.733
USDA final 2024
23.787
SRW wheat – million acres
USDA
6.440
Average est.
6.141
USDA final 2024
6.062
White winter wheat – million acres
USDA
3.640
Average est.
3.496
USDA final 2024
3.541

U.S. Carryover
Corn – billion bushels
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
1.760
1.540
Average est.
NA
1.675
USDA December
1.760
1.738
Soybeans – million bushels
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
342
380
Average est.
NA
457
USDA December
342
470
Wheat – million bushels
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
702
798
Average est.
NA
799
USDA December
702
795
Cotton – million bales
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
3.15
4.80
Average est.
NA
4.28
USDA December
3.15
4.40

Global Carryover
Corn – MMT
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
317.46
293.34
Average est.
NA
294.80
USDA December
316.22
296.44
Soybeans – MMT
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
112.38
128.37
Average est.
NA
132.20
USDA December
112.16
131.87
Wheat – MMT
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
267.47
258.82
Average est.
NA
257.86
USDA December
267.41
257.88
Cotton – million bales
2023-24
2024-25
USDA
74.16
77.91
Average est.
NA
75.90
USDA December
74.16
76.02