USDA raised its 2023 beef production forecast based on “recent slaughter data and larger-than-previously forecast first-half placements.” But beef production is still expected to fall 4.8% from last year. USDA raised its 2023 beef export forecast, though it is still expected to drop 8.8% from last year. The 2023 average cash cattle price was increased 70 cents from last month to $166.50, which would be up $22.10 from last year.
USDA’s initial projections for 2024 call for another 8.1% decline in beef production, while exports are expected to fall another 8.5%. USDA projects the average cash steer price will rise to $172.00 next year.