Report snapshot: U.S. corn carryover falls short of expectations

USDA’s Nov. WASDE and production updates yielded increases in corn and bean production; however, corn carryout fell short of expectations while soybean carryout was pegged 8 million bu. higher than the average estimate.

usda
usda
(USDA)

2022 U.S. Corn, Soybean and Cotton Production

Corn

Production
(bil. bu.)

Yield
(bu. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

13.930

172.3

80.8

Average est.

13.887

171.9

NA

USDA October

13.895

171.9

80.844

Soybeans

Production
(bil. bu.)

Yield
(bu. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

4.346
50.2
86.6

Average est.

4.315

49.8

NA

USDA September

4.313

49.8

86.631

Cotton

Production
(mil. bales)

Yield
(lbs. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

14.03
855
7.88

Average est.

13.62

NA

NA

USDA September

13.812

842

7.876

Expectations for
U.S. Carryover

Corn – billion bushels

2022-23

USDA

1.182

Average est.

1.207

USDA October

1.172

USDA 2021-22

1.377

Soybeans – million bushels

2022-23

USDA

220

Average est.

212

USDA October

200

USDA 2021-22

274

Wheat – million bushels

2022-23

USDA

571

Average est.

578

USDA October

576

USDA 2021-22

600

Cotton – million bales

2022-23

USDA

3.00

Average est.

2.73

USDA October

2.8

USDA 2021-22

3.75

Global Carryover

Corn – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

307.68

300.76

Average est.

NA

300.63

USDA October

307.01

301.19

Soybeans – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

94.67

102.17

Average est.

NA

100.61

USDA October

92.38

100.52

Wheat – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

276.31

267.82

Average est.

NA

267.49

USDA October

276.01

266.52

Cotton – million bales

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

85.64

87.27

Average est.

NA

88.04

USDA September

85.26

87.87