Report snapshot: quarterly stocks short of pre-report estimates

Corn, soybeans turn higher on USDA data. Corn and soybean production also fell short of estimates, leaving ending stocks below the average pre-report estimate.

usda
usda
(USDA)

2022 U.S. Corn, Soybean and Cotton Production

Corn

Production
(bil. bu.)

Yield
(bu. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

13.730

173.3

79.2

Average est.

13.933

172.5

80.763

USDA November

13.930

172.3

80.844

Soybeans

Production
(bil. bu.)

Yield
(bu. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

4.276
49.5
86.3

Average est.

4.362

50.3

86.621

USDA November

4.346

50.2

86.631

Cotton

Production
(mil. bales)

Yield
(lbs. per acre)

Harvested acres (mil.)

USDA

14.68
947
7.44

Average est.

14.140

NA

NA

USDA December

14.242

868

7.876

Quarterly Grain Stocks Report

Corn – billion bu.

USDA Dec. 1, 2022

10.809

Average est.

11.153

USDA Sept. 1, 2022

1.377

USDA Dec. 1, 2021

1.1642

Soybeans – billion bu.

USDA Dec. 1, 2022

3.022

Average est.

3.132

USDA Sept. 1, 2022

0.274

USDA Dec. 1, 2021

3.152

Wheat – billion bu.

USDA Dec. 1, 2022

1.280

Average est.

1.344

USDA Sept. 1, 2022

1.776

USDA Dec. 1, 2021

1.378

Winter Wheat Seedings

All winter wheat – million acres

USDA

36.950

Average est.

34.485

USDA final 2022

33.271

HRW wheat – million acres

USDA

25.3

Average est.

23.824

USDA final 2022

23.083

SRW wheat – million acres

USDA

7.90

Average est.

6.890

USDA final 2022

6.570

White winter wheat – million acres

USDA

3.73

Average est.

3.631

USDA final 2022

3.618

Expectations for
U.S. Carryover

Corn – billion bushels

2022-23

USDA

1.242

Average est.

1.314

USDA December

1.257

USDA 2021-22

1.377

Soybeans – million bushels

2022-23

USDA

210

Average est.

236

USDA December

220

USDA 2021-22

274

Wheat – million bushels

2022-23

USDA

567

Average est.

580

USDA December

571

USDA 2021-22

600

Cotton – million bales

2022-23

USDA

4.20

Average est.

3.50

USDA December

3.50

USDA 2021-22

3.75

Global Carryover

Corn – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

305.95

296.42

Average est.

NA

297.86

USDA December

307.09

298.40

Soybeans – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

98.22

103.52

Average est.

NA

101.69

USDA December

95.59

102.71

Wheat – MMT

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

276.82

268.39

Average est.

NA

268.02

USDA December

276.31

267.33

Cotton – million bales

2021-22

2022-23

USDA

85.34

89.93

Average est.

NA

89.46

USDA December

85.44

89.56