Big day of potentially market-moving reports on March 31

USDA will issue its Prospective Plantings and Grain Stocks Reports

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(USDA)

USDA will release its Prospective Plantings and quarterly Grain Stocks Reports Monday, both of which have potential to trigger strong price reactions. Most of the pre-report focus tends to be on planting intentions for the upcoming growing season. But quarterly stocks have a history of producing big price moves, especially for the corn market, as analysts have struggled to accurately predict those figures. The following pre-report estimates are from a Reuters survey.

Expectations for Prospective Plantings Report
Corn – million acres
Average est.94.361
Range92.500 – 96.600
Pro Farmer/Doane survey93.750
USDA final 202490.594
Soybeans – million acres
Average est.83.762
Range82.500 – 85.500
Pro Farmer/Doane survey85.000
USDA final 202487.050
All wheat – million acres
Average est.46.475
Range45.400 – 47.815
Pro Farmer/Doane survey45.400
USDA final 202446.079
Other spring wheat – million acres
Average est.10.531
Range10.000 – 11.500
Pro Farmer/Doane survey10.050
USDA final 202410.625
Durum wheat – million acres
Average est.2.004
Range1.700 – 2.400
Pro Farmer/Doane survey2.050
USDA final 20242.064
Cotton – million acres
Average est.10.189
Range9.850 – 10.500
Pro Farmer/Doane survey9.750
USDA final 202411.128

Expectations for Quarterly Grain Stocks Report
Corn – billion bu.
Average est. for March 1, 20258.151
Range8.050 – 8.311
USDA Dec. 1, 202412.074
USDA March 1, 20248.352
Soybeans – billion bu.
Average est. for March 1, 20251.901
Range1.823 – 2.015
USDA Dec. 1, 20243.100
USDA March 1, 20241.845
Wheat – billion bu.
Average est. for March 1, 20251.215
Range1.125 – 1.252
USDA Dec. 1, 20241.570
USDA March 1, 20241.089